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Methodology


Historical data
All data in Mobile Intelligence is gathered first hand, directly from:

  • Mobile network operators
  • Trade bodies
  • National regulators
  • Handset manufacturers
  • Infrastructure providers
  • Mobile TV service providers and broadcasters
  • Mobile music service providers and record labels
  • Mobile games service publishers and developers

We maintain regular contact with many of these companies, actively seeking feedback on our data and forecasts. News sources are constantly monitored, and our analysts, who work exclusively on mobile content, assess the reliability and validity of each piece of information to build up the best possible picture of the marketplace.

We pride ourselves on knowing the background to every number and every data point within our Intelligence service and never rely on third party sources.

Where data is not available, estimates are made. These estimates are based on our intimate knowledge of the mobile market and based on discussion with the companies involved in the sector.

Forecast data
We do not rely simply on statistical curve fits or other basic modeling techniques which we have found to be completely inadequate in forecasting media markets. All of our models are based on our analysts' in-depth understanding of the markets concerned and the players involved and are developed on a ground-up basis taking into account both past and current growth rates and the individual factors that go into contributing to a market size or value.

All inputs required are thus overseen by a senior analyst who will apply his own market knowledge and take into account company guidance and information and feedback obtained from interviews with senior industry executives involved in the market.

The exact methodology varies model by model but taking the mobile TV model as an example, the factors considered include:
  • spectrum availability
  • historical subscriber figures
  • TV popularity in that market
  • total consumer mobile content spend
  • 3G takeup
  • existing and likely future business models

These are just a few of the factors considered, and each country is modeled individually. We also discuss our mobile TV models regularly with the TV department at Screen Digest for their expert input to the model. Screen Digest's digital music experts also have input on our mobile music model, and likewise our mobile games model is compiled in conjunction with the video games team.
Because each model is individual and each market different, an analyst is always available at the end of a telephone to explain the thinking behind a forecast or to give general market views.

> Analyst, market intelligence & notices
(160) 1-15 showing [more]
Vodafone secures iPhone distribution rights in 10 marke...

published: 06-May-08
territories: Australia, Czech Republic, Egypt, Greece, India, Italy, New Zealand, Portugal, South Africa, Turkey - Asia-Pacific, Europe, Africa and Middle East
categories: New product/service, Marketing deal, General market development
Julien Theys more

AT&T launches broadcast mobile TV

published: 04-May-08
territories: USA - North America
categories: New product/service
Ronan de Renesse more

News and weather services spruce up mobile sites

published: 02-May-08
territories: USA - North America
categories: New product/service, Content deal
Julien Theys more

Mobile operators avoid DVB-H struggle by launching DVB-...

published: 30-Apr-08
territories: Germany - Western Europe
categories: New product/service, Strategy change
Ronan de Renesse more

UK ad supported MVNO reaches 100k subs

published: 29-Apr-08
territories: UK - Europe
categories: General market development
Julien Theys more

Sony acquires digital media identification firm Graceno... secure

published: 24-Apr-08
territories: USA - World
categories: Merger/takeover/investment deal, Technology deal

New mobile content forecasts added to China and India secure

published: 24-Apr-08
territories: China, India - Asia-Pacific
categories: New market data/forecast
Ronan de Renesse more

New mobile music data available secure

published: 24-Apr-08
territories: Austria, Belgium, Canada, China, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, India, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea. Rep [S], Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UK, USA - Asia-Pacific, Central and Eastern Europe, North America, Western Europe
categories: New market data/forecast
Christine Binns more

Sony BMG joins Nokia's Comes With Music

published: 22-Apr-08
territories: Australia, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, UK - World
categories: Content deal
Christine Binns more

Ofcom announces L-Band auction participants

published: 18-Apr-08
territories: UK - Europe
categories: Regulatory/legal development
Ronan de Renesse more

MobiTV counts 3.5m subscribers

published: 18-Apr-08
territories: Canada, USA - North America
categories: General market development
Ronan de Renesse more

Latest Nokia Music Store launches

published: 17-Apr-08
territories: Australia, France
categories: New product/service
Christine Binns more

SFR and MTV partner to attract young subscribers

published: 15-Apr-08
territories: France - Europe
categories: Content deal
Ronan de Renesse more

AOL and Verizon ink digital ad deal

published: 14-Apr-08
territories: USA - North America
categories: New product/service, Content deal
Julien Theys more

Nokia launches N-Gage platform

published: 09-Apr-08
territories: Finland - World
categories: New product/service
David MacQueen more

> Reports
(9) 1-5 showing [more]
Console Games publishing Q1 08 No. 2 secure

Since before the launch of Xbox 360 in late 2005 Screen Digest has been actively tracking multiple data points regarding every single packaged retail title confirmed for current generation TV consoles. The Console Games Bulletin aggregates and analyses this data to discern key trends in global video games publishing.
published: 24-Jan-08
Ed Barton more

256 bit Console Global Games Publishing Trends and Anal... secure

Since before the launch of Xbox 360 in late 2005, Screen Digest has tracked multiple data points regarding every single packaged retail title confirmed for 256 bit home console platforms. The final Quarter of 2007 is the ideal time to release our first Console Games Publishing Bulletin given the level of activity in the publishing community and the emergence of trends which could prove highly influential in the shaping of this hardware generation.
published: 10-Oct-07
territories: Australia, Spain, Denmark, Poland, Canada, France, Japan, Korea. Rep [S], UK, USA - World, Europe, North America
Ed Barton more

Western World MMOG Market: 2006 Review and Forecasts to... secure

This report examines the commercial climate for massively multiplayer online games operations in North America and Europe. The MMOG market is sized by incumbent and emerging business models and subscription revenues and forecasts to 2011 are provided for North America and the key European markets. Also covered are current trends in content, IP and licensing.
published: 19-Mar-07
Piers Harding-Rolls more

Next Generation Consoles: Games publishing, hardware an... secure

The Screen Digest report Next Generation Consoles: Games publishing, hardware analysis and forecasts to 2010 examines the prospects for next generation platforms and the implications for the console manufacturers and third party publishers alike. In addition the report forecasts next generation hardware and software markets to 2010.
published: 06-Feb-07
Ed Barton more

Forecasts and assessments to 2010 secure

This major study of the online gambling industry profiles 30 operators , including the global market leaders in all sectors - sports betting, poker, gaming, exchange and spread betting. The report includes 11 years of historical and forecast data for gross margin and active clients between 2000 to 2010 and detailed historical data for individual operators
published: 18-Jul-06
Mark Smith more Ed Barton more

> Articles
(21) 1-10 showing [more]
Sega takes the lead in new games secure

After missing the Christmas selling season, the publisher has stepped up output of new titles to pull well ahead of its main rivals in the first quarter
published: 23-Apr-08

EA bids cash to acquire Take-Two secure

Another significant takeover bid shows the continuing moves to consolidate the games industry, especially by seeking synergies
published: 26-Mar-08
territories: USA

Current-gen console releases secure

Sega, having sidestepped the Christmas market, is leading the industry with the most releases for the current-generation games consoles - eight of them based on new intellectual property - in the first quarter of the new year. Nintendo's Wii is catching up with Microsoft's Xbox 360 in terms of number of releases, although the aggressive support for Wii over Christmas has not persisted into the new year.
published: 22-Feb-08
territories: Canada, Japan, UK, USA - Asia-Pacific, Europe, European Union, North America, Regional Totals, Western Europe, World, PAL
Ed Barton more

Activision meets Vivendi Games secure

The proposed merger of Activision and Vivendi Games Blizzard Entertainment is a sound strategic fit and could shake up the games industry
published: 01-Dec-07

Games console options proliferate secure

Manufacturers introduce new packages for market segments
published: 01-Nov-07
territories: Japan, USA - Europe, PAL
Ed Barton more

Next-gen console games contend secure

Strong format competition based on familiar software titles is expected during crucial Christmas period
published: 22-Oct-07
Ed Barton more

Handheld console market matures secure

A clear leader is emerging in the market battle between the latest generation of portable games devices, the Nintendo DS and Sony's PSP. We examine the three key territories-Japan, the US and the PAL television countries-and forecast that over the next four years the DS will outsell the PSP in both hardware and, by corrolation, software, especially in the Western territories.
published: 12-Jun-07
territories: Japan, USA - PAL, North America
categories: Market data analysis, Market data/forecast revision, New market data/forecast, New product/service, Strategy change, Technical development, General market development
Ed Barton more

Next-gen games console sales secure

European hardware sales expectations are reduced as sales and stock availability date feed through, but strong sales are driving Nintendo's Wii forward
published: 15-May-07
territories: Germany, UK - Europe, PAL
categories: Market data analysis, Market data/forecast revision, New market data/forecast, General market development
Ed Barton more

UK Entertainment spending stable secure

The pay TV and games sectors contributed to UK spending on entertainment rising to £8.6bn. But spending on video fell for the first time ever
published: 15-May-07
Richard Cooper more

Games formats in transition secure

Overall market performance has been better than expected but next-generation sales volumes have yet to make an adequate impression.
published: 19-Feb-07
territories: USA, Japan - Asia-Pacific, North America
Ed Barton more


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