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December 2007

Digital Cinema: Global and European roll-out, business models and forecasts to 2012

David Hancock

Charlotte Jones

77 Tables & Charts / 176 pages

Available formats: Print & PDF

Electronic: £2490.00, $5120.00, €3900.00

Print: £1245.00, $2560.00, €1950.00

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Digital Cinema: Global and European roll-out, business models and forecasts to 2012

Cinema is in the process of converting all the worlds screens to digital projection equipment. However, since the development began in earnest in 1999, numerous problems have been encountered in replacing its longstanding analogue forerunner, not least who is going to pay for this conversion and how and by whom will it be undertaken.

The publication of technical specifications by a joint US studio led grouping in 2005 proved a catalyst for a US-wide first phase roll-out and this territory has taken a significant advance over much of the world. We are now at a stage where the foundations have been laid for a European-wide mainstream deployment to begin, and this report analyses the business models being developed, the value proposition for both exhibitors and distributors, the remaining challenges for deployment companies, the forecasted speeds of adoption by all territories and key driver territories and companies.

Key findings:

At the end of 2007, 5.5 per cent of the worlds modern screens are converted to digital and we predict that by 2012 this will rise to 48 per cent.
The dominant business model for digital conversion is the Virtual Print Fee, but there may be other models entering the market
The driver market is the USA, but significant government involvement is pushing other countries, such as China, UK and Norway.
Despite almost full digital provision of studio movies in the USA, a key obstacle to overcome in Europe, outside of the business model, is the provision of arthouse and European content.
The main financial beneficiaries, certainly in the short-term, are distributors but digital 3D and alternative content are forming the beginnings of a persuasive business case for the exhibitor
The digital conversion will cost an approximate $10bn worldwide over the next ten years

In the report:

Forecasts of digital cinema screen growth by territory to 2012 Overview of the current state of the market; globally, regionally and for key driver territories
Analysis of the current business models, focusing on the Virtual Print Fee but also exploring others in the global and European market
Analysis of the European digital cinema market and the obstacles blocking growth
The digital cinema value proposition for the distributor, including an evaluation of print costs and distributor benefits
The digital cinema value proposition for the exhibitor, including digital 3D, alternative content, and theatre management systems
Full datasets for digital screen growth and penetration, projector manufacturer sales and market shares, projector market sizes, server manufacturer market shares and digital content.
Analysis of the key challenges remaining to resolve before full market roll-out can be achieved
Analysis of the progress made towards the digital delivery of movies by satellite or other means
Analysis of the role that Hollywood has played in the move towards digital conversion
Full company profiles for all key digital cinema players (exhibitors, projector manufacturers, server manufacturers, third-party facilitators, digital 3D system manufacturers
Digital cinema progress timeline from 1999 to 2007

Table of Contents

Tables and Charts

Executive Summary

Global overview of digital cinema
Global Overview of Digital Cinema

The evolving business model
The Evolving Business Model for Digital Cinema

Developing the European DC market
Developing the European Market for Digital Cinema

D-Cinema: The numbers
D-cinema overview
D-cinema screens by region
Leading d-cinema territories
Total d-cinema screens as a proportion of total screens Total d-cinema screens by site
Leading d-cinema locations
Leading exhibitors by number of d-screens
D-cinema projector resolution
Projector manufacturers
Projector territories
Projector Market Values
Leading Third Party Operators
Server Manufacturers
D-screen forecasts

D-cinema content and releases
Overview
Theatrical distribution in a digital age
Value proposition of digital cinema for distributors

Cinema exhibition in a digital world
Value Proposition for the exhibitor

Exhibitor profiles
Exhibitor Profiles
Carmike
Regal
Cinemark
Rave Motion Pictures
Odeon
Kinepolis
Utopolis
Cinecitta MultiplexKino
Lotte Cinema
Warner Mycal

Driver territories
USA
UK
Germany
France
Belgium
Norway
Ireland
China
Korea
India

Digital delivery of movies
1. Physical Transportation of Media
2. Wireless delivery
3. Wireline delivery
4. Hybrid Solution

Hollywood and digital cinema
Hollywood and Digital Cinema

Determining Screen Widths

Obstacles facing Digital Cinema roll-out
Key challenges remaining for 2008 and onwards
Technical
Economic
Logistical

Profiles - Projector Manufacturers
DLP Technology
LCoS Technology

Profiles - Server Manufacturers
DTS
GDC Technology
QuVis
Dolby
Doremi
Kodak
Qube
IntoPix

Profiles - Third party operators
AccessIT
Technicolor Digital Cinema
Digital Cinema Implementation Partners (DCIP)
Cinema Buying Group-NATO
Digeserv
Arts Alliance Media (AAM)
XDC
Digital Cinema Limited
Unique Digital
Ymagis
FHP
D-Cinema Korea
China Film Group

Profiles - Digital 3D cinema
RealD
NuVision
Dolby Digital 3D

D-Cinema timeline

Executive Summary

Global overview of digital cinema
D-cinema deployments curve worldwide
D-Cinema deployments by region

The evolving business model
VPF example

Developing the European DC market
Digital Cinema Conversion Index for Europe
DCCI
Range for data measures in Europe
Time Fee tariff
VPF model
Box office per print: France

D-Cinema: The numbers
Global d-cinema screen growth
D-Cinema screens per territory
D-Cinema Screens per region
D-Cinema sites
D-Cinema sites per screen
Leading d-cinema territories ranked
D-screens by US State
D-screens as a proportion of total screens
Leading d-cinema territories by penetration of total screens
D-screens by site
Leading world cities by d-screens H1 2007
Leading exhibitors by d-screens 2005
D-cinema projectors by resolution overview
D-cinema projectors by resolution detailed
Market share of projector units by manufacturer %
Manufacturer market shares: Europe
Manufacturer market shares:North America
Manufacturer market shares: Latin America
Manufacturer market shares: Asia
Manufacturer market shares: Australasia
Manufacturer market shares: Africa Total
Projector Market Values $000s
Leading third party operators 2007
Total units deployed by server manufacturer H1 2007
D-cinema screen forecasts by territory
Forecast d-screens
Forecast d-screens
Forecast d-screens (Global)

D-cinema content and releases
Number of films released in high-end digital format
Global digital releases
Widest high-end digital releases: 2006
US Distributors digital slates 2005
US Distributors digital slates 2006
Films released in digital
Distributors releasing in digital
Proportion of overall films released in digital UK
Proportion of distributors releasing in digital UK
Distributors releasing digitally 2005 UK
US Distributors digital slates 2006 UK
Proportion of overall films released in digital
Proportion of distributors releasing in digital
Distributors releasing digitally 2005 Germany
Distributors releasing digitally 2006 Germany
Proportion of overall films released in digital
Proportion of distributors releasing in digital
Number of 3D releases by year
Past and upcoming digital 3D releases by distributor

Theatrical distribution in a digital age
Release Widths for feature films
Print market sizes
Print Market Regional Summary
Release Width Regional Summary
Front loading of revenues in Germany and UK

Cinema exhibition in a digital world
Box Office per Screen results 3D vs 2D

Exhibitor profiles
Exhibitor digital penetration US
Exhibitor digital penetration UK
Exhibitor digital penetration Europe

Driver territories
US facilitator plans

Digital delivery of movies

Hollywood and digital cinema
D-cinema screen growth

Determining Screen Widths
D-cinema projectors and target screen size
CST, France (in metres)
AAM, UK (in metres)
Average seats per auditorium in Western Europe
Seat and Screen size distribution
Seat and screen size distribution (continued)
Average seats per metre

Obstacles facing Digital Cinema roll-out
2005 listing of challenges facing the industry and advances made

Profiles - Projector Manufacturers

Profiles - Server Manufacturers

Profiles - Third party operators
Planned deployments in USA
XDC screen network as at November 2007

Profiles - Digital 3D cinema

D-Cinema timeline

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